its not that we don't know, it's that our want to find other civilizations is affecting our judgement. Originally, Dr. Frank Drake(the guy who made the equation) did the equation himself, and got to the answer that there will be 10 civilizations in our whole entire galaxy (which is reeeeally low comapred to how massive our milky way is). But, other scientist and astronomers tried it again, and this time with different numbers. And they got the answer of 1 civilization(which means only us. onoz!!), 5000 civilizations (which is a pretty nice number), and 50 civilizations. I would go with the 50 civilizations. not too big and not too small. the 5000 civilizations would be too much because think of all the galaxies in the universe. Thats just too unrealistic. The one where we are the only one in our galaxy would suck too because the real number is 0.5 or something. Thats a fifty fifty chance in just one galaxy!



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